Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 798.047624 905.036855 1026.249646 1174.829405 1353.532801 1563.453012 1831.554504
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 649.617924 788.333391 960.870964 1195.519983 1513.236719 1939.174598 2572.950442
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 572.366333 723.689251 923.100130 1213.095656 1638.470923 2265.029592 3312.122095
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 506.495903 660.186555 871.705766 1195.681347 1702.315954 2509.393064 4002.699056
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 467.221050 625.655307 852.370047 1216.575224 1821.676558 2862.569330 5001.180487
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 439.931586 603.677540 846.498437 1254.359521 1972.585426 3306.184936 6363.429348
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 411.524785 576.208647 827.793201 1266.707490 2079.840227 3697.302601 7810.634472
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 381.860114 543.450633 796.355040 1251.626633 2131.988455 3991.248809 9187.760726
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 363.384978 526.069739 787.283147 1273.610474 2259.219769 4486.126589 11445.225650
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 336.281996 492.425076 747.486414 1233.384473 2250.737727 4662.622025 12853.434351
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 313.782270 464.425408 714.525882 1201.502556 2253.725766 4869.577101 14544.426675
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 292.213528 436.352525 678.903427 1159.924893 2227.484025 4993.057979 16038.442539
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 284.013151 430.885504 684.105695 1203.348885 2414.339169 5807.255582 21615.374243
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 273.434038 420.630638 679.893615 1227.652583 2564.367416 6597.534706 28567.321949
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 263.052974 409.756819 673.215597 1245.353075 2702.205187 7425.172459 37703.218008
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 249.355811 391.966628 651.729332 1227.404934 2740.805716 7926.932482 45961.725711
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 241.376770 383.823525 648.017212 1249.028674 2896.513892 8980.772083 63231.970492
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 235.828532 379.647287 651.614117 1288.172543 3116.008551 10473.215495 94553.064673
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 228.004580 370.667589 644.673849 1300.966606 3259.097104 11743.248059 134553.197028
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 218.100148 357.125607 627.221144 1285.340660 3306.586972 12580.479172 176924.591931
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 212.380091 351.158012 624.998608 1308.119932 3492.420616 14373.688811 281379.783952
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 201.530842 334.682708 599.276113 1266.442033 3439.796877 14697.481237 342724.752592
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 192.150428 320.581176 577.695479 1233.420766 3412.493688 15190.488227 435483.236223